Project Risk Mangement

Risk Score = Likelihood Rating x Impact Rating

Likelihood

Assessment Rating  Description Indicator Immediate chance of occurring
Very likely 5 expected in most circumstances multiple times a year > 99%
Likely 4 will probably occur in most circumstances once a year > 50%
Possible 3 might occur at some time once within 3-5 years > 30%
Unlikely 2 could occur occassionally within 10 years < 30%
Rare 1 may occur in exceptional circumstances within 25 years <1%

Impact

Assessment Rating  Finance Compliance People Reputation Operations
Breach resulting in: not inclusive
Severe 5 > $3.5 M Material sanctions, fines, penalties Loss of several key leaders and/or multiple critical staff
Long term impact on staff engagement
Long -term wide spread media coverage, major long-term impact Complete disruption
unplanned outage > 2 weeks
widespread staff/visitor safety at risk
Major 4 > $1 M Signifiant sanctions etc Loss of few key leaders and/or a critical staff
Medium term impact on staff engagement
Medium -term wide spread media coverage, short-term impact widespread disruption
unplanned outage > 5 days
some staff/visitor safety at risk
Moderate 3 ~ $500 K – $1.0 M some penalties/fines Loss of one key leader
Medium term impact staff engagement
Short -term localized media coverage, Short-term impact minimual disruption
unplanned outage > 1 day
local staff/visitor safety at risk
Minor 2 ~ $100K – $500K Immaterial fines Loss of identifed successor of key leader,  miminal impact staff engagement Medium -term localized media coverage, medium-term impact local disruption
unplanned outage couple hours
minimual staff/visitor safety at risk
Insignificant 1 < $100K nothing Nominal impact staff engagement No media coverage, minimual impact no risk